Chris - On a purely statistical level, I'm curious to know how you calculate the accurate swings? The last elections involving the incumbents were the all-outs and not all of the candidates involved in these elections stood in those ones nor did they necessarily stand for the same party (eg. Angela Gallagher). Leaving aside from the whole thing about how the all-outs are very difficult to analyse with regards to support for particular parties/candidates.

Please supply an email address so we can contact you and give a brief explanation of why this comment violates the Terms Of Use:
Email Address:

Reason: