An explanation of the "Quick Statistics"

You may be interested to read a debate on Parliamentary Questions and EDMs before you look at the following statistics. Peter Luff (Mid Worcestershire, Conservative) said, "Some MPs table long lists of questions in an attempt to appear active, just as some Members table and sign large numbers of early-day motions to pretend the same thing. We all know that early-day motions are usually parliamentary graffiti, and many written questions are not much better these days.".

Attendence data is taken from The Public Whip.

The Public Whip says, "'Attendance' is for voting or telling in divisions. An MP may have a low attendance because they have abstained, have ministerial or other duties or they are the speaker. Perhaps they consider each division carefully, and only vote when they know about the subject. [...] A full list of reasons for low attendance can be found in the Divisions section on page 11 of a House of Commons library research paper. Note also that the Public Whip does not currently record if a member spoke in the debate but did not vote."

Debates and Written Questions data comes from They Work For You. The number of written questions that John Leech has recieved a reply does not include questions already asked that have not been answered yet.

EDMs

John Leech has signed 1102 Early Day Motions.

Early day motions are motions tabled by Members of Parliament for debate "on an early day". They are only very rarely debated on the floor of the Chamber of the House. EDMs remain open for signature for the duration of the parliamentary session.

Replied To
Based on statistics from WriteToThem.com, John Leech was sent 114 messages through WriteToThem.com and replied to 75.3% of them within 2-3 weeks.

WriteToThem.com said, "Because we have only a limited amount of data for each MP, we cannot be certain of their responsiveness. The ranges show the '95% confidence interval' for each MP's responsiveness; the larger the range, the less certain we are. We believe that it is 95% certain that the true values lie between the two limits of the confidence intervals. ". John Leech has a 95% confidence interval of 65%–84%.

Majority

General Election 2005: Manchester Withington
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats John Leech 15,872 42.4 +20.4
Labour Keith Bradley 15,205 40.6 -14.3
Conservative Karen Bradley 3,919 10.5 -4.8
Green Brian Candeland 1,595 4.3 -0.1
UK Independence Robert Gutfreund-Walmsley 424 1.1 +1.1
Independent Ivan Benett 243 0.6 +0.6
Independent Yasmin Zalzala 153 0.4 +0.4
Their Party Richard Reed 47 0.1 +0.1
Majority 667 1.8
Turnout 37,458 55.3 +3.4
Liberal Democrats gain from Labour Swing +17.3

Predicted Majority

The predicted majority at the next General Election, according to the Electoral Calculus, is Array ( ) 7.55% .

This results is generated "using scientific analysis of opinion polls and electoral geography".